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Treasury to Offer $125 Billion in Securities in February Quarterly Refunding; Auctions and Buyback Plans Announced

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Key takeaways

  • Treasury will offer $125 billion of securities to refund about $90.2 billion maturing on February 15, 2026, raising roughly $34.8 billion in new cash.
  • Auction schedule: 3-year $58B (Feb 10), 10-year $42B (Feb 11), 30-year $25B (Feb 12); all settle Feb 17, 2026.
  • Treasury expects to maintain current nominal coupon and 2-year FRN auction sizes for at least the next several quarters and is monitoring SOMA purchases and private demand for bills.
  • TIPS auction sizes for Feb–Apr 2026: Feb 30-year new issue $9B; Mar 10-year reopening $19B; Apr 5-year new issue $26B.
  • Treasury anticipates the TGA could peak around $1,025 billion (±$50B) by late April, noting uncertainty from April tax receipts and macroeconomic factors.
  • Treasury released a tentative buyback schedule: up to $38B in off-the-run securities for liquidity support and up to $75B in the 1-month to 2-year bucket for cash management.
  • Treasury issued an NPR to expand direct buyback access to more counterparties (comments due Feb 13, 2026) and plans to transition buyback operations to the New York Fed’s FedTrade Plus platform after a small-value test.

Follow Up Questions

What is the SOMA portfolio and how do SOMA purchases affect Treasury’s borrowing and issuance decisions?Expand

SOMA (System Open Market Account) is the Federal Reserve’s portfolio of securities (Treasuries, MBS, foreign reserves) managed by the New York Fed to implement monetary policy. SOMA purchases are made in the secondary market (not at Treasury auctions) and therefore do not directly finance the federal government, but by absorbing Treasury securities they change private-sector supply/demand and can push prices/yields up or down. Because changes in SOMA holdings alter how much Treasury paper the private sector must absorb, Treasury monitors SOMA purchases when sizing auctions and may adjust issuance (e.g., coupon and FRN sizes) to reflect altered private demand and market liquidity.

What is the Treasury General Account (TGA) and why does a peak around $1,025 billion matter for markets or Treasury operations?Expand

The Treasury General Account (TGA) is the U.S. Treasury’s checking account at the Federal Reserve that holds the federal government’s cash balance. A peak near $1,025 billion matters because a very large TGA affects Treasury’s need to issue bills and notes (it temporarily reduces near-term borrowing needs), influences short-term money-market liquidity and bank reserves, and can change bill supply and yields — so markets and Treasury operations watch TGA size to time bill auctions and cash-management actions.

What are cash management bills (CMBs) and how do they differ from regular Treasury bills and other short-term securities?Expand

Cash management bills (CMBs) are short-dated Treasury securities issued irregularly to meet temporary or unexpected cash needs; they are similar to Treasury bills but scheduled outside the regular weekly bill calendar and tailored for intra-quarter cash management. Unlike regular (benchmark) bills, CMBs are used flexibly to smooth near-term cash flows and cover temporary financing gaps rather than to fund predictable, ongoing issuance needs.

What does "off-the-run" mean when describing securities and why would Treasury buy off-the-run securities?Expand

“Off‑the‑run” describes previously issued Treasury securities that are not the most recently issued (“on‑the‑run”) benchmark for a given maturity. Off‑the‑run securities typically trade less frequently and can have slightly different liquidity and pricing. Treasury buys off‑the‑run securities in buyback operations to support market liquidity, reduce supply in specific maturities, and manage cash (as Treasury announced planned purchases of up to $38 billion in off‑the‑run securities for liquidity support).

What is FedTrade Plus and how might moving buyback operations to that platform change operational procedures or counterparties?Expand

FedTrade Plus is the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s upgraded trading platform for the Open Market Trading Desk that runs repo/reverse‑repo and other Desk operations; it replaces the older FedTrade system. Moving Treasury buyback operations to FedTrade Plus would change the execution venue and operational workflow (orders, confirmations, settlement interfaces and testing procedures) and could require counterparties to use the Desk’s new connectivity and protocols used on FedTrade Plus.

What would direct buyback access mean in practice and which counterparties might become eligible under the proposed rulemaking?Expand

Direct buyback access would let a limited set of additional counterparties interact directly with Treasury buyback operations rather than only through primary dealers. Under the Treasury’s NPR, eligibility would be based on participation in Treasury auctions (and Treasury’s existing buyback FAQ outlines participation criteria); proposed expansion would likely include qualified auction participants and active market-makers that meet operational and regulatory standards — Treasury will decide final criteria after the comment period.

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