THE FOLLOW UP
PROMISE

The next TIC data release for November 2025 is scheduled for January 15, 2026.

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oversight

Publication of TIC data for November 2025.

Source summary
The U.S. Treasury released TIC data for October 2025 showing a net TIC outflow of $37.3 billion, split between $18.1 billion in net foreign private outflows and $19.2 billion in net foreign official outflows. Foreign residents net purchased $38.9 billion of long-term U.S. securities (driven by $49.0 billion from private investors and $10.1 billion sold by officials), while U.S. residents bought $21.4 billion of long-term foreign securities. After adjustments (including estimated stock-swap activity), overall net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $17.5 billion; short-term holdings rose, with foreign holdings of Treasury bills up $21.8 billion and custody liabilities up $21.5 billion. Banks’ own net dollar-denominated liabilities to foreigners fell by $76.3 billion. The next TIC release (for November) is scheduled for January 15, 2026.
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Timeline

  1. Scheduled follow-up · Jan 18, 2026overdue
  2. Update · Jan 15, 2026, 11:56 AMin_progress
    Preliminary: original Treasury press release (Dec 18, 2025) stated the November 2025 TIC release was scheduled for January 15, 2026. I searched Treasury press releases and TIC pages; as of this check (2026-01-15) I cannot find a Treasury press release on 2026-01-15 labeled “Treasury International Capital Data for November 2025” nor an accessible TIC monthly release on the TIC data site (ticdata.treasury.gov returned Access Denied). The Department’s press archive lists other press releases on Jan 13–14, 2026 but not a TIC release on Jan 15. Because the claim’s completion condition is publication of the November 2025 TIC data, and I could not verify publication on the scheduled date from Treasury or other reputable sources, the status is in_progress and should be checked again for the actual TIC dataset or press release (Treasury.gov or TIC data portal) after server/access issues are resolved.
  3. Scheduled follow-up · Jan 15, 2026
  4. Scheduled follow-up · Jan 15, 2026overdue
  5. Completion due · Jan 15, 2026
  6. Update · Jan 01, 2026, 12:02 PMin_progress
    Claim restated: The next Treasury TIC data release for data on November 2025 was promised to be published on January 15, 2026, per the Treasury press release noting that the November 2025 TIC report is scheduled for that date. Progress evidence: The Treasury published TIC data for October 2025 on December 18, 2025, and explicitly stated that the next release would cover November 2025 and be released on January 15, 2026. This provides a clearly defined schedule and demonstrates ongoing TIC reporting activity by the department. Status assessment: As of 2026-01-01, the November 2025 TIC data have not yet been published publicly, so the completion condition remains outstanding. The promised publication date remains January 15, 2026, with that release acting as the milestone. Dates and milestones: October 2025 TIC data release occurred December 18, 2025. The anticipated November 2025 release date is January 15, 2026, per the Treasury press release. There is no conflicting public information indicating an earlier or later publication, based on official sources. Source reliability note: The primary sources are official U.S. Treasury press materials, which are authoritative for TIC release schedules. Coverage from secondary outlets should be treated cautiously unless corroborated by Treasury communications.
  7. Update · Jan 01, 2026, 11:38 AMin_progress
    The claim restates that the next TIC data release for November 2025 is scheduled for January 15, 2026. The Treasury’s December 18, 2025 press release explicitly states that the October 2025 TIC data were released and that the November 2025 data would be released on January 15, 2026. As of 2026-01-01, the November 2025 TIC data had not yet been published, so the milestone remains in_progress rather than completed.
  8. Update · Jan 01, 2026, 11:20 AMin_progress
    Claim restated: The TIC data release for November 2025 was scheduled for January 15, 2026. Treasury's October 2025 TIC data release notes the next release will cover November 2025 and is set for January 15, 2026. As of 2026-01-01, the November 2025 TIC data had not yet been published; the completion date remains 2026-01-15. Reliability: Treasury press releases are primary official sources; corroboration comes from Treasury data release calendars and reporting by financial news outlets citing the same schedule.
  9. Update · Jan 01, 2026, 10:02 AMin_progress
    Claim restatement: The claim states the next TIC data release for November 2025 is scheduled for January 15, 2026. Evidence of progress: Treasury published TIC data for October 2025 on December 18, 2025 and explicitly stated that the next release would cover November 2025 and be released on January 15, 2026. Status as of 2026-01-01: The November 2025 TIC release had not yet occurred, with the scheduled publication date in place. Completion status: Not completed by the current date; the release is anticipated on the scheduled date rather than having occurred. Milestones: October release published December 18, 2025; November 2025 release targeted for January 15, 2026. Reliability note: The primary source is the Treasury’s official press release, which is the authoritative citation for TIC release dates; secondary outlets mirror the schedule but should be treated as secondary corroboration.
  10. Scheduled follow-up · Jan 01, 2026
  11. Scheduled follow-up · Jan 01, 2026overdue
  12. Original article · Dec 18, 2025
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