White House says headline and core inflation have averaged 2.4% since President Trump took office

False

Credible evidence contradicts the statement. Learn more in Methodology.

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Confirm that the cited averages for headline and core inflation since the date the president took office match official inflation series (e.g., BLS CPI) and that the comparison figures for the prior administration are accurate.

Source summary
The White House cites new BLS data showing core inflation came in below economists' expectations and says inflation is under control while real wages are rising. The administration attributes lower inflation and faster wage growth to President Trump’s policies, noting headline and core inflation running at 2.4% and projected real private-sector weekly earnings up about 4% (roughly $1,100) in his first full year. Bloomberg is quoted as describing the lower core inflation as a sign of cooling price growth and noting vehicle prices have declined.
Latest fact check

Official U.S. inflation data do not support the claim that, since President Trump "took office," headline and core inflation have been running at 2.4%, nor that he inherited 3.0% headline and 3.3% core inflation.

Using the standard CPI measures, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that as of December 2025 the 12‑month headline inflation rate was 2.7% and core CPI (all items less food and energy) was 2.6%, not 2.4% for either measure. For the prior year under President Biden, BLS data show December 2024 year‑over‑year headline CPI at 2.9% and core CPI at 3.2%; describing these as 3.0% and 3.3% slightly exaggerates them but is within rounding. However, over the months of 2025, headline CPI inflation generally ran around 2.3–2.9% and core CPI around 2.6–3.3%, yielding averages clearly above 2.4% rather than at 2.4%. Because both the level and the time‑averaged data contradict the assertion that inflation has been "running at" 2.4% since Trump took office, the statement is factually incorrect.

Verdict: False, because BLS inflation data show headline and core inflation rates above 2.4% during the period in question and do not support the claimed 2.4% figures.

Timeline

  1. Update · Jan 13, 2026, 11:11 PMFalse
    Official U.S. inflation data do not support the claim that, since President Trump "took office," headline and core inflation have been running at 2.4%, nor that he inherited 3.0% headline and 3.3% core inflation. Using the standard CPI measures, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that as of December 2025 the 12‑month headline inflation rate was 2.7% and core CPI (all items less food and energy) was 2.6%, not 2.4% for either measure. For the prior year under President Biden, BLS data show December 2024 year‑over‑year headline CPI at 2.9% and core CPI at 3.2%; describing these as 3.0% and 3.3% slightly exaggerates them but is within rounding. However, over the months of 2025, headline CPI inflation generally ran around 2.3–2.9% and core CPI around 2.6–3.3%, yielding averages clearly above 2.4% rather than at 2.4%. Because both the level and the time‑averaged data contradict the assertion that inflation has been "running at" 2.4% since Trump took office, the statement is factually incorrect. Verdict: False, because BLS inflation data show headline and core inflation rates above 2.4% during the period in question and do not support the claimed 2.4% figures.
  2. Original article · Jan 13, 2026

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