Evidence is incomplete or still developing; a future update may resolve it. Learn more in Methodology.
Verify sector-level real earnings changes for the stated period in official labor statistics to confirm the projected dollar increases for goods-producing, mining and logging, construction, and manufacturing workers.
The White House article claims that, in President Trump’s first full year in office, real annual earnings are “on track” to rise by specific dollar amounts for goods-producing workers overall ($1,300) and for mining and logging ($2,200), construction ($1,400), and manufacturing ($1,300). The underlying official data for real earnings by detailed industry are not directly published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS); BLS publishes industry-level nominal hourly and weekly earnings (e.g., Table B-8) and overall real earnings indices (e.g., Real Earnings Summary, Tables A‑1 and A‑2), but not a ready-made breakdown of real earnings changes by goods-producing subsector. Without access to the exact methodology or internal calculations used by the White House to convert BLS nominal series and CPI into the stated dollar “real annual” gains, these precise dollar figures cannot be independently reconstructed or verified from public data. Available independent analysis criticizing related Trump administration wage-growth claims (e.g., blue-collar wages rising at record rates) focuses on framing and cherry-picking, not on confirming these specific sectoral real-dollar amounts. Therefore, there is currently insufficient transparent, independently reproducible evidence to determine whether the specific claimed real annual earnings increases for these sectors are accurate. The verdict is Unclear because BLS does not publish the sector-specific real-earnings series needed to directly confirm or refute the exact dollar amounts, and the White House methodology is not disclosed.