Operational Updates

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report

Interesting: 0/0 • Support: 0/0Log in to vote

Key takeaways

  • Seasonally adjusted initial UI claims for the week ending Dec 13: 224,000 (down 13,000 from prior week's revised 237,000).
  • 4-week moving average of initial claims: 217,500 (up 500 from the previous revised average).
  • Seasonally adjusted insured unemployment for week ending Dec 6: 1,897,000 (up 67,000); insured unemployment rate: 1.2%.
  • Unadjusted initial claims (week ending Dec 13): 255,012 (down 59,903, or -19.0%); comparable week in 2024: 252,071.
  • Total continued weeks claimed in all programs (week ending Nov 29): 1,993,823 (up 262,500 from prior week).
  • No state was "on" the Extended Benefits (EB) program for the week ending Nov 29.
  • Largest week-over-week increases in state initial claims (week ending Dec 6): California (+14,258), Illinois (+11,074), New York (+10,346); largest decreases: Rhode Island (-82), Nebraska (-65).

Follow Up Questions

What is the difference between an "initial claim" and a "continued weeks claimed"?Expand

An “initial claim” is a person’s first application for unemployment insurance after losing a job; it counts new people entering the system that week and is often used to measure new layoffs (“emerging unemployment”).

“Continued weeks claimed” (or “continued claims” / “insured unemployment”) counts weeks of benefits claimed by people who have already filed an initial claim and remain unemployed—each person is counted once for each week they claim, so it measures the ongoing number of people receiving UI benefits, not new job losses.

What does "seasonally adjusted" mean and why are the seasonally adjusted and unadjusted numbers different?Expand

“Seasonally adjusted” means statisticians have removed the effects of regular, predictable patterns—such as holidays, school schedules, and weather-related slowdowns—from the raw (“unadjusted”) claims data so changes from week to week better reflect real shifts in unemployment rather than normal seasonal swings.

Because seasonal adjustment scales the raw counts up or down using historical seasonal patterns, the seasonally adjusted numbers will differ from the unadjusted counts even though they describe the same underlying claims for that week.

What does "advance" claims mean and why are prior weeks revised?Expand

In this report, “advance” claims are the preliminary weekly figures based on fast reports (ETA‑538) that states send shortly after the week ends, so the government can publish near‑real‑time data.

Previous weeks are later labeled “revised” because (1) states submit late or corrected data that update the unadjusted counts, and (2) once a year ETA and BLS revise the seasonal‑adjustment factors and apply them to the historical series, which can slightly change earlier seasonally adjusted numbers.

How is the "insured unemployment rate" calculated and what does 1.2% represent?Expand

The insured unemployment rate (IUR) is calculated as:

IUR = (number of workers receiving regular state unemployment insurance benefits in a given week ÷ number of workers in jobs covered by that insurance) × 100.

So an insured unemployment rate of 1.2% means that about 1.2 out of every 100 workers whose jobs are covered by regular state UI were actually drawing benefits that week. This is narrower than the overall unemployment rate because it only counts people both eligible for and claiming UI benefits.

What conditions trigger a state "on" the Extended Benefits (EB) program?Expand

A state is “on” the Extended Benefits (EB) program when its unemployment has been high for long enough to meet federally defined trigger thresholds:

• Mandatory trigger (all states must use): EB turns on—and up to 13 extra weeks of benefits become available—if the state’s 13‑week average insured unemployment rate (IUR) is at least 5.0% and at least 120% of the average IUR for the same 13‑week period in each of the prior two years. • Optional triggers (states may adopt in their laws): EB can also turn on if the IUR meets a higher threshold (e.g., 6.0%) or if the state’s 3‑month average total unemployment rate (TUR) exceeds specified levels (such as ≥6.5% and at least 110% of its average in the previous two years).

The weekly report notes when no state meets any of these conditions, so no state is “on” EB.

What are the UCFE and UCX federal programs referenced in the report?Expand

• UCFE (Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees) is a federal program that provides unemployment benefits to eligible former civilian employees of the U.S. federal government who lost their jobs through no fault of their own. States administer the claims as agents for the federal government, and federal agencies reimburse the benefit costs.

• UCX (Unemployment Compensation for Ex‑servicemembers) provides unemployment benefits to eligible former active‑duty military personnel (and some former NOAA uniformed members). It is also administered by states on behalf of the federal government, with benefits paid from military/NOAA funds rather than state UI taxes.

These programs appear in the weekly UI report as separate federal components alongside regular state unemployment insurance.

Who produces these weekly UI claims (ETA vs. BLS) and how should policymakers or the public use this data?Expand

The weekly UI claims figures are produced by the Employment and Training Administration (ETA) in the U.S. Department of Labor. ETA collects raw weekly claims from state unemployment‑insurance agencies and publishes the “Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims” news release and historical data.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) does not collect these data; it acts as ETA’s technical contractor for seasonal adjustment—BLS maintains the statistical models and seasonal factors that ETA applies to the raw data before releasing the seasonally adjusted series.

Policymakers and the public use weekly claims as a high‑frequency barometer of labor‑market conditions: initial claims show new layoffs (“emerging unemployment”), and continued claims show how many people remain on UI. These series are used alongside (not instead of) BLS’s monthly unemployment and payroll reports to assess the economy and guide policy decisions.

Comments

Only logged-in users can comment.
Loading…